Saturday, March 10, 2007

Pander, Pander

Conservatives, and especially Christian conservatives, are torn among prospective Republican presidential candidates in the 2008 election. None of the major candidates have been able to move sufficiently right enough to excite a good chunk of the party base. Each of the major announced candidates have some negatives that turn off the base, but have some positives that can attract independent voters.

Lurking in the background for some time has been former House Speaker Newt Gingrich. Newt engineered the Republican takeover of the House of Representatives, and has been a champion for conservative principles. Mr. Newt (as Rush Limbaugh used to call him) has also had some personal moral failures in his past, which helped to destroy his political career.

This week, Newt attempted to shore up the Republican base, by addressing questions of his moral character. He appeared on Dr. James Dobson's radio show, and admitted to an adulterous affair, at the same time that the House was pursuing the impeachment of President Clinton. Gingrich expressed an admission of guilt in this environment, and revealed himself as a sinner in need of grace.

Apparently, Newt did ok with Dr. Dobson, as Jerry Falwell invited him to give the commencement address at Liberty University in May. Falwell last year invited John McCain (no friend of conservatives) to speak at Liberty's graduation. Dr. Falwell still fashions himself as some sort of Republican power broker.

I am so torn on this. I strongly believe in the grace of God, and that God will forgive the sins of anyone who asks with a repentant heart. I believe God can be at work in the hearts of men, including Newt Gingrich. I hope this is the case. I'd like to give him the benefit of the doubt.

However, the cynic in me sees this as pandering. Newt sees a large group of uncommitted Republican voters up for grabs, primarily conservative Christians who comprise up to 40 percent of GOP primary voters. He also knows that Dr. Dobson and Dr. Falwell are respected figures among social conservatives. Gingrich has always pushed social conservative values as part of his agenda, and his credentials there are not questioned. However, the timing of the Dobson interview and the Falwell invitation smack of pandering and some coordination. I don't think Christians are all a bunch of Southern redneck rubes. Christians are not just merely a monolithic voting bloc. Our votes have to be earned.

One of my concerns is that we have someone with admitted moral failures positioning himself as the social conservative candidate. Once again, I believe that God can and will forgive him of his sin. However, will the electorate be so forgiving? And, will the liberal mainstream media be so forgiving? I don't think so.

Americans vote for likable people, based on the information they have. The press has so demonized Newt that I don't think he has a chance of being elected president. I think he would make a great Vice President under a President Giuliani (this is not an endorsement of Rudy-I don't see myself going down that road).

Newt has some appeal. However, don't look for church parking lots full of "Gingrich for President" bumper stickers next year.

4 comments:

Zee said...

However, will the electorate be so forgiving?

No, because he is a republican.

And, will the liberal mainstream media be so forgiving? I don't think so.

No, because he is a republican, but they will find a way to blame it on Bush, as they always do.

The press has so demonized Newt that I don't think he has a chance of being elected president.

I think he has a better chance than many other candidates.

I think he would make a great Vice President under a President Giuliani (this is not an endorsement of Rudy-I don't see myself going down that road).

Not ideal, but better than McCain and anyone or anyone and McCain.

Newt has some appeal. However, don't look for church parking lots full of "Gingrich for President" bumper stickers next year.

I will look for them. Who knows if he's sincere or not, but at least he tried. These knuckleheads should figure out that you can't hide crap like this and get anywhere. That's why Obama was all open about his drug use.

I'm not sure who I'm ready to support, but I know it ain't McCain.

Zee said...

After reading my comments, JD, I think I'm more cynical than you! lol

John said...

You're 110% right about McCain. At the end of the day, his record is more conservative than that of Rudy or Mitt, but he has made a career out of hacking off the conservative base, and has proven himself untrustworthy. I'd have to gouge an eye out after voting for him, if he wound up being the nominee. I don't see that happening.

It's so tough to see if Newt is sincere in his comments, but I would like to give him the benefit of the doubt. You're right that these guys should go ahead and just admit their mistakes and get on with it.

Give credit to Newt for recognizing a significant part of the Republican base.

Zee said...


Give credit to Newt for recognizing a significant part of the Republican base.


I think he may get some clout from this. Many Republican candidates think they can ignore the Christian right or they think they don't matter. I think that hurts many of them (see Bob Dole).